Aussie housing market 'past its peak' By Aaron Bell

 

The NAB Quarterly Australian Residential Property Survey Q3 2021, has shown a decrease in confidence from industry professionals. 

The report from NAB stated that, "the survey is also pointing to a market that has passed its peak rate of growth after the COVID led dip in 2020." 

The survey measures the industry's view on housing prices and rents, and found sentiment has dropped to 60 points in the third quarter after hitting a record of 71 points in the previous quarter. 

Established Property 

In the established housing market, lack of stock is the biggest constraint buyers face. 

The next biggest constraint impacting buyers was the rising price of houses, with this issue being the most prevalent in NSW. 

In Victoria and NSW, employment security was also a significant constraint, impacted by lockdowns and restrictions. 

Foreign Investors 

Foreign buyers were slightly more present in the market in Q3 than previous reports from NAB in the last year. 

During the September quarter, property professionals estimate the overall share of total sales to foreign buyers lifted to 4.4% (the highest in 12 months) in new property markets and 2.2% in established housing markets. 

The highest percentage of foreign investors were seen in Victorian (5.6%) and QLD (5.0%) housing markets. 

These numbers are still well below averages of 12.9% and 11.2% respectively. 

Rental Markets 

Over the next 12 months, the survey average predicts rents to increase by 3.1%. 

House prices are expected to outpace rents, before leveling out to a similar pace in two years' time. 

Migration from locked down states has seen a shift in the rental landscape in the past twelve months, with Melbourne now offering the cheapest rent for houses in any capital city. 

This has led to record rental prices for Brisbane, Adelaide and Darwin, with NAB's latest projections indicating this may continue. 

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